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Demosthenes's avatar

What happens if a vaccine for COVID-19 never comes?

Asked by Demosthenes (9738points) 2 weeks ago

The prevailing narrative seems to be that life in America will return to pre-pandemic normal once there’s a vaccine. A vaccine could come tomorrow, in five years, or never. And the resistance to vaccination in this country is going to be massive (I predict). I see a major problem with banking on a vaccine.

As much as I loathe the term “new normal”, a part of me fears we will never return to pre-pandemic normalcy. Can we return to normal even if there is no vaccine?

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4 Answers

hmmmmmm's avatar

Speaking as a non-scientist (I have no idea what I’m talking about), my understanding is that even best case scenario would see a vaccine getting rushed for approval the early part of next year, or getting approved for larger trial. Then, it appears that the vaccine production would need to start. Then there is the transport and distribution, the politics of how all of this gets paid for, etc. And finally, we’ll be met with parts of the population that will refuse to vaccinate, or will wait to see if there are any dangers to taking such a rushed vaccine.

It seems as though it could be years before a vaccine is distributed and readily available so that herd immunity is reached. And from what I have heard, we still don’t know if having the virus already provides enough antibodies to make someone immune – for any length of time.

Re: the prevailing narrative about life in the US returning to pre-pandemic “normal” – that isn’t good either. That “normal” meant death and suffering for way too many people, while a few had more money than they could ever spend in 100 lifetimes. I can’t see how this shit economic system is to survive this. The two wings of the corporate party in the US has decided that they aren’t even willing to provide the most basic of services during this time. They’re convinced that people here are too indoctrinated to revolt, and they’re probably right.

As for the timeline of a vaccine, if it’s years from now and people are just left to rot without jobs, income, and healthcare, then years = “never” for many people. They won’t live to see it.

Tropical_Willie's avatar

Here’s what will happen to the Non-Vaxxers! – - – -5% to 45% of them will die from COVID-19 depending on age. 45% is for people over the age of 65 or 70.

There are several different companies working on vaccines ! There will be a vaccine next year according USC News. Maybe more than one vaccine.

raum's avatar

I’m pro-vax. But not sure how I feel about pumping my kids full of pharmaceuticals that were rushed to market.

And it’s not looking like a one shot deal either. Most studies are pointing to antibodies lasting for a short time frame. That means repeated shots with limited efficacy.

SQUEEKY2's avatar

Different countries are all working on a vaccine ,one thing if an American company does come up with a working one you can bet it will be the most expensive one.
If you choose not to fax ,guess you will have to social distance for the rest of your life, for me if one has met the safety guidelines it will be a no brainer ,but it will have to meat the guidelines .
If one isn’t discovered I guess this new normal will carry on for years to come.

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