How long will Aaron Hernandez last in prison?

The former football player was found guilty of first degree this morning in Massachusetts. This entitles him to spend the rest of his life in a Massachusetts prison (no parole).

He’s currently big, tall, husky – a guy in pretty good shape. He can probably defend himself – at least for now – against other prisoners.

But I wonder – will he be a target of various groups, gang, or individuals in prison? Will someone want to take him down to establish themselves as the big dog at whatever prison they send him to?

My guess is that he won’t survive five years.