On a scale of 1-10, (10 being highly plausible) how plausible do you think this prediction is?

This is a prediction made by Paul Saffo from Technology Forecaster:

“Within five to ten years, driverless cars will share roadways with conventional cars. This will happen in urban areas first and will take a decade to fully defuse. In the long run, people won’t own cars at all. When you need to go somewhere, you’ll have a subscription to an auto service, and it will show up at your door.

We’re moving away from a purchase economy. We will subscribe to access rather than pay money for possessions such as smart phones. We won’t buy software anymore, we’ll subscribe to it.

A new religion could emerge in the next decade or two, perhaps based around the environment. Digital technology is the solvent leaching the glue out of our global structure – including shaking our beliefs systems to the core.”