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What do you think of presidential opinion polls ?
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September 7th, 2008
IMO, there is something strange going on with polls. In one hand most polls report that the race between Senator McCain and Senator Obama is in “dead-heat” or at least it is pretty close percentage-wise.
Gallup Daily Tracking Barack Obama 47% John McCain 45%
Rasmussen Reports Tracking Barack Obama 49% John McCain 46%
YouGov-Economist Barack Obama 42% John McCain 39%
On the other hand there is some polls that show Obama has a chance in some “weird” states like North Dakota. I mean, North Dakota might go Democrat????? How is it possible that Obama has a chance in North Dakota but the race is still close?!!! Even Clinton lost this state twice by a big margin.
North Dakota Obama 43% McCain 40% http://www.electoral-vote.com/
And here is another poll:
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2008/president/nd/north_dakota_mccain_vs_obama-618.html
Does it mean that this year we might see some serious changes in political map of the US? Does it mean polls make no sense at all since they contradict one another?!
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