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mattbrowne's avatar

Do you think scientists will be able to predict an earthquake more precisely and give people several hours advance warning?

Asked by mattbrowne (31732points) March 24th, 2009

An earthquake prediction is a prediction that an earthquake in a specific magnitude range will occur in a specific region and time window. Predictions are considered as such to the extent that they are reliable for practical, as well as scientific, purposes. Although there is evidence that at least some earthquakes in some tectonic regimes are predictable with useful accuracy of time and space, the reliability and reproducibility of prediction techniques have not been established and are therefore generally not accepted by seismologists. Can we expect significant progress in the next 10 to 20 years?

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