Do you think we will go through a big spike in covid cases because of Memorial Day?

Memorial Day weekend is usually a big vacation weekend in the United States. Most states are loosening mask rules and increasing capacity rules.

What’s your guess? Will the US have a spike in cases like we have seen over and over again when holidays occur? Do you think very vaccinated cities will prove to do much better than parts of the country that aren’t vaccinated? Will Memorial Day be a test for the vaccine effectiveness? Or, is it too soon to tell?

What about a scenario where cases are up, but hospitalizations and deaths don’t go up very much?