What do you predict the Hamas leaders in Gaza are thinking and doing? (See details)
Based on the principle we saw in the US elections where people’s predictions were more accurate than their preferences, I’d like to ask ask you to make a guess about what the Hamas leaders are thinking in Gaza. It doesn’t matter how much you know about the situation. What matters is what you know of human nature.
What are the Hamas goals with the current spate of missile strikes?
Are they targeting specific Israeli targets? Or are they shooting missiles randomly in the direction of Tel Aviv?
Does Hamas believe Israel will invade? Or do they think they can avoid the invasion? If so, how?
Does Hamas believe that Israel will engage in ethnic cleansing in Gaza?
Does Hamas believe they are in a more powerful position now that Egypt is run by a member of the Muslim Brotherhood? Do they think that Israel will not dare engage in a full-fledged war?
So answer as many questions as you feel like, or if you just feel like making a general prediction about this conflict, I am interested.